The short answer
Breast cancer treatment turns on ER, PR, and HER2 status, and on gene profile tests with published cutoffs: an Oncotype DX recurrence score of 11 or less means chemotherapy is not indicated in node-negative disease, and above 25 means it is. NCI also reports that extra follow-up scans and blood tests do not improve survival.
ER, PR and HER2 status sort breast cancer into hormone receptor positive, HER2 positive, or triple negative, and a drug that works on one type does nothing for another.
ER and PR are measured by immunohistochemistry and HER2 by immunohistochemistry and in situ hybridization, so it is fair to ask which method gave a result and whether it was borderline.
For node-negative disease, an Oncotype DX recurrence score of 11 or less means chemotherapy is not indicated, above 25 means it is, and the range between is a complex decision that weighs age at or under 50 against over 50.
Randomized trials show that periodic bone scans, liver ultrasound, chest X-rays and liver function tests do not improve survival or quality of life after treatment for stage I to III disease, and NCI names physical examination and annual mammography as acceptable follow-up.
Choose how you want to understand this
The full explanation.
Three receptor results define the disease
Before any treatment question makes sense, three test results have to be on the table. NCI lists them as the core of molecular profiling in breast cancer. They are estrogen receptor (ER) status, progesterone receptor (PR) status, and HER2 receptor status. HER2 stands for human epidermal growth factor receptor 2.
Those three results sort breast cancer into one of three types:
- Hormone receptor positive.
- HER2 positive.
- Triple negative — ER, PR, and HER2 all negative.
NCI states plainly why this matters. ER, PR, and HER2 status help set the prognosis. They also predict response to endocrine therapy and HER2-directed therapy. A drug that works on one type does nothing for another.
There is also a quality-control question worth asking. The American Society of Clinical Oncology and the College of American Pathologists have published consensus guidelines here. Those standardize how these assays are performed, interpreted, and reported. ER and PR are measured by immunohistochemistry. HER2 is measured by immunohistochemistry and in situ hybridization. So it is fair to ask which method produced a result, and whether it was borderline.
The genomic tests, and their actual cutoffs
Beyond the receptors, gene profile tests estimate recurrence risk and help decide about chemotherapy. NCI names three: MammaPrint, Oncotype DX, and the Breast Cancer Index.
MammaPrint was the first gene profile test approved by the FDA. It is a 70-gene signature. It sorts tumors into high-risk and low-risk categories. The MINDACT trial, registered as NCT00433589, set out to test its usefulness. The question was patient benefit for adjuvant chemotherapy decisions.
Oncotype DX has the most extensive clinical validation so far. It applies to HER2-negative, hormone receptor-positive breast cancer. It produces a 21-gene recurrence score. That score comes from the expression levels of those genes.
Those score thresholds are worth knowing exactly, because they are decision points rather than descriptions. For node-negative disease:
- Recurrence score of 11 or less: low risk. Chemotherapy is not indicated.
- Score above 11 and up to 25: intermediate risk. NCI calls the decision here complex and personalized. Age at or under 50 versus over 50 feeds into it. So do clinicopathological features and patient preference.
- Score above 25: high risk. Chemotherapy is indicated.
For postmenopausal node-positive disease the cutoff is simpler. A score of 25 or less is low risk, and chemotherapy is not indicated. A score above 25 is high risk, and chemotherapy is indicated.
The Breast Cancer Index combines two profiles. One is the HOXB13 to IL17BR expression ratio, called the H over I ratio. The other is the Molecular Grade Index. It has been both prognostic and predictive in hormone receptor-positive disease.
One older dataset shows why these scores exist. In the NSABP B-14 trial, tissue was available from 668 patients treated with tamoxifen. The 10-year distant recurrence risk was 7% with a low recurrence score. It was 14% with an intermediate score, and 31% with a high score, at P less than .001. That trial used different thresholds from current practice. They were under 18, 18 to 30, and 31 or above. That gap is itself a reason to ask which cutoffs a specific report uses.
What follow-up testing does not do
This section tends to surprise people, and it comes straight from randomized trials.
NCI calls one thing controversial. That is the frequency of follow-up, and the value of screening tests, after primary treatment for stage I, II, or III breast cancer. Then it gives the finding. Randomized trials show that periodic bone scans, liver ultrasound, chest X-rays, and liver function blood tests do not improve survival or quality of life. The comparison is with routine physical examinations.
And it goes one step further. Even when those tests permit earlier detection of recurrent disease, patient survival is unaffected.
On that basis, NCI names what acceptable follow-up can be limited to. This applies to people with no symptoms who have finished treatment for stage I to III disease. The list is two items. Physical examination, and annual mammography.
That is a short list. It is worth discussing openly. A plan with fewer scans is often mistaken for less care.
If it comes back in the same area
Locoregional recurrence means the cancer returns in the breast, chest wall, or nearby nodes rather than at a distant site.
The rates have fallen over time. A meta-analysis suggests a rate under 3% after breast-conserving surgery plus radiation therapy. Rates are somewhat higher after mastectomy, up to 10%.
Two facts shape what happens next. Between 9% and 25% of people with a locoregional recurrence already have distant spread, or locally extensive disease, when it is found. That is why restaging to check the extent of disease comes before treatment. And confirmation by cytology or histology is obtained whenever possible, rather than treating on imaging alone.
Then comes the detail that changes drug choices. ER, PR, and HER2 status at the time of recurrence are weighed alongside past treatment. NCI notes that ER status may change at the time of recurrence. A receptor profile from years ago may no longer be the one that counts.
NCI adds two things about outlook. Recurrent breast cancer often responds to therapy, though treatment is rarely curative at that stage. And people with locoregional recurrence may become long-term survivors with the right therapy.
Numbers for scale
For 2026 in the United States, the American Cancer Society projects 321,910 new cases of invasive breast cancer in women. It projects 42,140 deaths, plus 60,730 cases of ductal carcinoma in situ. These annual counts come from Cancer Facts & Figures, and NCI's PDQ summary reprints them, currently from the 2025 edition. Fewer than one in eight women diagnosed with breast cancer will die of it. For comparison, about 61,950 American women will die of lung cancer in 2026.
Men account for 1% of breast cancer cases and 1% of breast cancer deaths.
On inherited risk, 5% to 10% of all women with breast cancer may carry a germline pathogenic variant in BRCA1 or BRCA2. Two risk-estimation tools are in common use. One is the Gail model. The other is the IBIS/Tyrer-Cuzick model, version 8. That version weighs family history more fully than the Gail model, and also accounts for breast density.
Questions worth bringing
- What are the ER, PR, and HER2 results, and by which method were they measured?
- Was any of those results borderline or equivocal?
- Which type is this — hormone receptor positive, HER2 positive, or triple negative?
- Is a gene profile test being ordered, and which one?
- If Oncotype DX: what is the recurrence score, and which cutoffs apply given node status and menopausal status?
- For an intermediate score, what specifically tips the chemotherapy decision here?
- What will follow-up consist of, given that added scans and blood tests have not improved survival?
- Has germline genetic testing been discussed?
- At recurrence: has the receptor status been retested on the new tissue?
For how stage maps onto treatment, see breast cancer treatment by stage and breast cancer stages. This page is a question list drawn from NCI. It does not recommend a treatment.
Sources
Words to know
Tap any term to see what it means.

Common questions
My Oncotype DX score is in the middle. What decides the chemotherapy question?
For node-negative disease a score above 11 and up to 25 is intermediate risk, and NCI calls the decision complex and personalized. Age at or under 50 versus over 50 feeds into it, along with clinicopathological features and your own preference.
Do the score cutoffs change if my nodes are positive?
For postmenopausal node-positive disease the cutoff is simpler. A score of 25 or less is low risk and chemotherapy is not indicated. Above 25 is high risk and chemotherapy is indicated. Ask which cutoffs your report is using.
Why is my follow-up plan just an exam and a mammogram?
Because the extra tests have been studied and did not help. Randomized trials found bone scans, liver ultrasound, chest X-rays and liver blood tests do not improve survival or quality of life, and that even earlier detection of recurrence left survival unaffected.
If the cancer comes back, do the old receptor results still apply?
Not necessarily. NCI notes ER status may change at the time of recurrence, so a receptor profile from years ago may no longer be the one that counts. Confirmation by cytology or histology is obtained where possible rather than treating on imaging alone.
Questions to ask your doctor
Being prepared helps you get the most out of your appointments. Save or print these questions.
Tap a question to save it to your list (kept on this device).
Your next step
Turn this topic into questions for your next appointment.
Speak With Trained Specialists & Human Navigators
Cancer Explained provides educational guidance, but does not replace trained specialists, social workers, or your medical team.
Talk to a trained cancer information specialist
Free, confidential assistance from NCI Cancer Information Service via phone, chat, or email.
Contact your oncology team
Locate after-hours contact numbers, portal messages, or urgent triage phone lines.
Find a patient navigator
Get one-on-one help with appointments, logistics, translation, and care coordination.
Find a genetic counselor
Discuss inherited mutation risk, family history, and genetic testing options.
Find an oncology social worker
Access emotional counseling, family support groups, and mental health resources.
Find a financial navigator
Locate copay assistance foundations, grant programs, and lodging/travel support.
Find a clinical-trial specialist
Search matching studies and speak with NCI trial information specialists.
Get urgent help
Immediate emergency guidance for fever (>100.4°F during chemo), severe pain, or shortness of breath.
Help Us Improve This Guide
Did this explanation answer your question and help you determine your next step?
Know someone who needs this?
Plenty of people are looking for something like this and do not know where to start. If this would help a friend or someone you love, send it on — we have written an opening line so you do not have to stare at an empty message. You can change every word of it.
Your message is written and sent in your own email or messaging app — we never see who you send it to, and nothing is added to any list.
Plain-language explanation of the published sources cited on this page. AI-assisted, source-checked, not clinician-reviewed.
Sources last checked: 2026-08-16 what this meansLast updated: 2026-08-16Next planned review: 2027-07-30
How this page was created
Cancer Explained does not originate medical claims. Every page restates guidance already published by the National Cancer Institute, the CDC, the USPSTF and the FDA, in plain language, with the source cited so you can check the original yourself. AI does the translating and organizing; automated checks test claims, citations, clarity and safety before anything publishes. We do not employ clinicians and do not intend to — our work is translation and navigation, not clinical judgment. Nothing here is personal medical advice, and no page can account for your particular situation.
Editorial status — Source checked. This page was written with AI assistance and checked line by line against the sources listed on it. That confirms the sources support what the page says. It is not a medical review, and it does not confirm the page is complete or right for your situation.
General education — varies by person. Answers genuinely differ between people. This page explains what commonly varies and points you to your care team for your situation.
Human medical review: not completed. Pages here are not signed off by a clinician before they publish. That is not an oversight we are quietly working around: we restate published guidance and cite it, so the authority belongs to the source rather than to us, and every page names where its claims come from — you can verify us instead of trusting us. Where a volunteer clinician has reviewed a page, their name and credentials appear on it; where no name appears, no clinician has checked it. We are glad to have reviewers and are recruiting them, and we do not hold pages back waiting for one. Use this site to understand your situation and to ask better questions of the people treating you.
How this page was created
Cancer Explained does not originate medical claims. Every page restates guidance already published by the National Cancer Institute, the CDC, the USPSTF and the FDA, in plain language, with the source cited so you can check the original yourself. AI does the translating and organizing; automated checks test claims, citations, clarity and safety before anything publishes. We do not employ clinicians and do not intend to — our work is translation and navigation, not clinical judgment. Nothing here is personal medical advice, and no page can account for your particular situation.
Editorial status: Source checked — This page was written with AI assistance and checked line by line against the sources listed on it. That confirms the sources support what the page says. It is not a medical review, and it does not confirm the page is complete or right for your situation.
Human medical review: not completed. Pages here are not signed off by a clinician before they publish. That is not an oversight we are quietly working around: we restate published guidance and cite it, so the authority belongs to the source rather than to us, and every page names where its claims come from — you can verify us instead of trusting us. Where a volunteer clinician has reviewed a page, their name and credentials appear on it; where no name appears, no clinician has checked it. We are glad to have reviewers and are recruiting them, and we do not hold pages back waiting for one. Use this site to understand your situation and to ask better questions of the people treating you.
Read more about our editorial process, our use of AI, and our corrections policy.
Spotted a problem? Report an error — a factual mistake, broken or outdated source, confusing wording, or anything that seems unsafe. Please do not include names, medical record numbers, dates of birth, addresses, or other identifying medical information in your report.
After using this page, do you understand what to do next?
Anonymous — we only record the answer, never who gave it.
Related articles
Still have questions?
Educational answers, plain language
Free to print and share
