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KEYNOTE-048: What the Head and Neck Cancer Trial Found
KEYNOTE-048 compared pembrolizumab, alone or with chemotherapy, against a cetuximab regimen in recurrent or metastatic head and neck cancer. The results depend heavily on PD-L1 expression.
Original commentary from the Cancer Explained editorial team.

Please note: this page is educational only — it is not medical advice, and it does not speculate about anyone’s health beyond reliable public reporting. For questions about your own health, talk with your healthcare team.
In brief
KEYNOTE-048 asked whether the immunotherapy drug pembrolizumab, given alone or added to chemotherapy, would help people live longer with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma that had come back or spread and could no longer be cured. It compared both approaches against the standard of the time: cetuximab plus platinum chemotherapy and fluorouracil. The answer turned on a laboratory measurement of the PD-L1 protein.
Trial at a glance
| Field | Detail |
|---|---|
| Trial | KEYNOTE-048 |
| Identifier | NCT02358031 |
| Phase | Phase 3 |
| Design | Randomized, open-label, 200 sites in 37 countries |
| Cancer type | Recurrent or metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma |
| Comparator | Cetuximab plus platinum and fluorouracil |
| Primary endpoints | Overall survival and progression-free survival |
| Enrollment | 882 participants |
Who took part
882 people with untreated, locally incurable recurrent or metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma were enrolled between April 2015 and January 2017 and assigned in equal proportions to pembrolizumab alone (301), pembrolizumab with chemotherapy (281), or cetuximab with chemotherapy (300). PD-L1 positivity was not required to join. Tumors were scored by combined positive score (CPS), a measure of how much PD-L1 the tumor and nearby immune cells express: 754 participants (85%) had a CPS of 1 or more, and 381 (43%) had a CPS of 20 or more.
What the trial found
Pembrolizumab alone improved overall survival compared with cetuximab and chemotherapy in the tumors expressing the most PD-L1. In the CPS-20-or-more group, median survival was 14.9 months versus 10.7 months (hazard ratio 0.61; 95% CI, 0.45 to 0.83; P=0.0007). In the CPS-1-or-more group it was 12.3 versus 10.3 months (hazard ratio 0.78; 95% CI, 0.64 to 0.96; P=0.0086). Across everyone in the trial, regardless of PD-L1, pembrolizumab alone was not better — it was non-inferior (11.6 versus 10.7 months; hazard ratio 0.85; 95% CI, 0.71 to 1.03).
Pembrolizumab with chemotherapy improved survival across the whole trial population: 13.0 months versus 10.7 months (hazard ratio 0.77; 95% CI, 0.63 to 0.93; P=0.0034), with larger differences at CPS 20 or more (14.7 versus 11.0 months) and CPS 1 or more (13.6 versus 10.4 months).
One result is easy to miss. Neither pembrolizumab arm improved progression-free survival, the other primary endpoint. People lived longer without the cancer being held back for longer on scans.
Side effects differed sharply by approach. Grade 3 or worse adverse events of any cause occurred in 55% of those treated with pembrolizumab alone, 85% with pembrolizumab and chemotherapy, and 83% with cetuximab and chemotherapy. Adverse events led to death in 8%, 12% and 10% respectively.
What changed in practice
Pembrolizumab moved into first-line treatment. The National Cancer Institute lists it as approved with platinum-based chemotherapy and fluorouracil as the first treatment for recurrent or metastatic disease that cannot be removed by surgery, and alone as the first treatment when the tumor has the PD-L1 protein.
What this story cannot tell you
- It does not apply to head and neck cancer that can still be treated for cure. Everyone in this trial had incurable recurrent or metastatic disease and had not yet been treated for it.
- It cannot tell you what to expect without a PD-L1 test. The benefit of pembrolizumab alone was concentrated in tumors expressing PD-L1, and in the total population it only matched the comparator.
- The comparison was against cetuximab plus chemotherapy, the standard in 2015. It does not rank pembrolizumab against later options, and the trial was open-label, so participants and investigators knew which treatment they were getting.
- Longer overall survival came without longer progression-free survival, and median figures describe groups, not individuals. Some people in these trials lived far longer than the median, and some far less.
Questions worth asking
- What is my tumor's PD-L1 combined positive score, and how does it change the options?
- Would you recommend immunotherapy alone or with chemotherapy in my situation, and why?
- What side effects should I watch for, and which need an urgent call?
Sources
This article was written from the sources below, which were checked on the source-check date shown above.
- Lancet 2019: Pembrolizumab alone or with chemotherapy versus cetuximab with chemotherapy for recurrent or metastatic HNSCC (KEYNOTE-048) (primary)
- ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02358031 (registry)
- NCI: Pembrolizumab (reference)
Related reading: head and neck cancer and treatment by stage.
How this article was prepared
Prepared by Cancer Explained's AI-assisted editorial system and checked against the sources listed above. This article has not been reviewed by a healthcare professional unless a named reviewer is specifically shown.
Cancer Explained is published by the National Cancer Information Foundation as a nonprofit-oriented public-interest education project. It is not a diagnostic service, does not recommend treatments, and is not for emergencies.
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Put the story in context
Prevention, possible warning signs, screening, and diagnosis
This story relates to Head and neck cancer. The information below is general: it does not reveal anything else about a public person’s health, and not every point applies to every cancer. Personal advice depends on age, symptoms, family history, exposures, and medical history.
Prevention and risk reduction
Not every cancer can be prevented. Avoiding tobacco, protecting skin from ultraviolet radiation, limiting alcohol, staying active, and receiving recommended HPV or hepatitis B vaccination can lower the risk of certain cancers. A risk factor is not a prediction or a cause in one individual.
Symptoms and possible early signs
Possible signs vary and are often caused by conditions other than cancer. Changes worth discussing include a new lump, unexplained bleeding or weight loss, a persistent cough, lasting bowel or bladder changes, a changing skin spot, or symptoms that persist or worsen. Some early cancers cause no symptoms.
Screening and early detection
Screening looks for certain cancers before symptoms begin. Recommended tests exist only for some cancers and depend on age and risk. Screening can have benefits and harms; it is not the same as evaluating a new symptom, and there is no single routine scan or blood test that reliably screens for every cancer.
How cancer is diagnosed
Diagnosis may involve a history and exam, imaging, laboratory tests, and often a biopsy. Pathology can identify the cancer type and may test biomarkers that guide treatment. Symptoms, screening results, tumor markers, or online stories alone cannot confirm cancer.
Learn about this story’s cancer topic
A public story may encourage questions, but it should not be used to estimate your risk or choose testing. Contact a healthcare professional about a persistent or concerning change. Seek urgent care for severe or rapidly worsening symptoms.